Exponential increase of the gestational-age-specific incidence of preeclampsia onset (COPE study): a multicenter retrospective cohort study in women with maternal check-ups at <20 weeks of gestation in Japan

Abstract

According to the 2004 Japanese definition, early-onset (EO) preeclampsia (PE) is defined as PE occurring at <32 weeks of gestation. This was based on the presence of “dual peaks” (30–31 and 34–35 weeks) in the prevalence of severe forms of hypertension. In contrast, the international definition adopted a cutoff of 34 weeks based on the consensus. Our aim was to investigate whether there were “dual peaks” in the gestational-age-specific incidence or prevalence of PE onset in pregnant women who underwent maternal check-ups at <20 weeks of gestation in a multicenter retrospective cohort study. Diagnoses of PE and superimposed preeclampsia (SPE) were based on the new Japanese definition. A total of 26,567 pregnant women with singleton pregnancy were investigated. The best fitting equations for the distribution of the onset of gestational-age-specific incidence (hazard) rates of PE/SPE, PE, and PE with severe hypertension (a systolic blood pressure ≥160 and/or a diastolic blood pressure ≥110 mmHg) were investigated using the curve estimation function in SPSS. PE/SPE occurred in 1.83% of the patients. EO-PE/SPE with onset at <32 and <34 weeks of gestation and preterm PE/SPE occurred in 0.38, 0.56, and 1.07% of the patients, respectively. Gestational-age-specific incidence rates of PE/SPE, PE, and PE with severe hypertension showed exponential increases, with very high R² values (0.975, 0.976, and 0.964, respectively). There were no “dual peaks” in the prevalence rates of women with SPE/PE, PE, and PE with severe hypertension. In conclusion, the absence of “dual peaks” refutes the previous rationale of EO-PE being defined as PE at <32 weeks of gestation. Further studies to determine an appropriate definition of EO-PE/SPE are needed.