Climate-change mitigation articles within Nature

Featured

  • Article
    | Open Access

    A Sobol attribution analysis unveils the roles of mitigation targets, model differences and scenario assumptions in shaping climate policy scenario outcomes.

    • Mark M. Dekker
    • , Andries F. Hof
    •  & Detlef P. van Vuuren
  • Article
    | Open Access

    Aligning the IPCC-assessed mitigation pathways with the national greenhouse gas inventories shows that key global mitigation benchmarks become harder to achieve, requiring achieving earlier net-zero and lower cumulative emissions.

    • Matthew J. Gidden
    • , Thomas Gasser
    •  & Keywan Riahi
  • Article
    | Open Access

    Analysis of ground-sourced and satellite-derived models reveals a global forest carbon potential of 226 Gt outside agricultural and urban lands, with a difference of only 12% across these modelling approaches.

    • Lidong Mo
    • , Constantin M. Zohner
    •  & Thomas W. Crowther
  • Article
    | Open Access

    A new model uses time discounting to estimate the present and future carbon costs of global wood harvests under different scenarios, suggesting an underappreciated option to address climate change.

    • Liqing Peng
    • , Timothy D. Searchinger
    •  & Richard Waite
  • Article
    | Open Access

    Measurements of the net ecosystem exchanges of CO2, CH4 and soil N2O from Acacia plantation, degraded forest and intact forest enable presentation of the peatland wood plantation rotation greenhouse gas flux balance.

    • Chandra S. Deshmukh
    • , Ari P. Susanto
    •  & Chris D. Evans
  • Article |

    Three alternative CO2 emission-mitigation pathways were analysed for the global plastics sector, covering their production to waste management. A circular bioeconomy strategy could achieve negative emissions in the long term, while at the same time allowing landfilling to be phased out and reducing resource consumption.

    • Paul Stegmann
    • , Vassilis Daioglou
    •  & Martin Junginger
  • Article |

    Simulations of historical and future periods of climate change showed that delayed mitigation to limit global warming might reduce the capacity of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage and threaten climate stability and food security.

    • Siqing Xu
    • , Rong Wang
    •  & Renhe Zhang
  • Article |

    Replacing 20% of per-capita ruminant consumption with microbial protein can offset future increases in global pasture area, cut annual deforestation and related CO2 emissions in half, and lower methane emissions.

    • Florian Humpenöder
    • , Benjamin Leon Bodirsky
    •  & Alexander Popp
  • Article |

    A global inventory of utility-scale solar photovoltaic generating units, produced by combining remote sensing imagery with machine learning, has identified 68,661 facilities — an increase of over 400% on previously available asset-level data —  the majority of which were sited on cropland.

    • L. Kruitwagen
    • , K. T. Story
    •  & C. Hepburn
  • Article |

    The amount of carbon dioxide released by the Australian wildfires of 2019–2020 is uncertain, but is estimated here using satellite observations of carbon monoxide to be more than twice the amount suggested by fire inventories.

    • Ivar R. van der Velde
    • , Guido R. van der Werf
    •  & Ilse Aben
  • Article |

    To enable net-negative CO2 emissions, the repayment of previously accrued carbon debt by establishing the responsibility for the net removal of CO2 by carbon-emitting parties through carbon removal obligations is necessary.

    • Johannes Bednar
    • , Michael Obersteiner
    •  & Jim W. Hall
  • Review Article |

    Ongoing global warming is likely to cause tipping point thresholds to be passed, but an abrupt system change can still be avoided if the warming is reversed quickly relative to the timescale of the tipping element.

    • Paul D. L. Ritchie
    • , Joseph J. Clarke
    •  & Chris Huntingford
  • Article |

    An integrated assessment model analysis shows that a moderately differentiated carbon price could achieve as much climate mitigation as a uniform carbon tax, avoiding concerns regarding equity between participating countries or sovereignty.

    • Nico Bauer
    • , Christoph Bertram
    •  & Ottmar Edenhofer
  • Article |

    Multicriteria optimization identifies global priority areas for ecosystem restoration and estimates their benefits for biodiversity and climate, providing cost–benefit analyses that highlight the importance of optimizing spatial planning and incorporating several biomes in restoration strategies.

    • Bernardo B. N. Strassburg
    • , Alvaro Iribarrem
    •  & Piero Visconti
  • Article |

    Fundamental value judgments about acceptable maximum levels of climate change and future reliance on controversial technologies can be made explicitly in climate scenarios, thereby addressing the intergenerational bias present in the scenario literature.

    • Joeri Rogelj
    • , Daniel Huppmann
    •  & Malte Meinshausen
  • Letter |

    Simulations of commonly proposed forest-management portfolios for Europe show that no single portfolio would meet all the requirements of the Paris Agreement, and climate benefits from forest management would be modest and local.

    • Sebastiaan Luyssaert
    • , Guillaume Marie
    •  & Matthew J. McGrath
  • Outlook |

    Carbon capture and storage will be crucial for mitigating climate change and rebuilding the world's energy infrastructure.

    • Katherine Bourzac
  • Letter |

    The authors report on attempts to increase the yield of smallholder farms in China using ten practices recommended by the Science and Technology Backyard for farming maize and wheat at county level.

    • Weifeng Zhang
    • , Guoxin Cao
    •  & Zhengxia Dou
  • Perspective |

    The objective of the Paris climate agreement is to limit global-average temperature increase to well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and to further pursue limiting it to 1.5 degrees Celsius; here, the adequacy of the national plans submitted in preparation for this agreement is assessed, and it is concluded that substantial enhancement or over-delivery on these plans is required to have a reasonable chance of achieving the Paris climate objective.

    • Joeri Rogelj
    • , Michel den Elzen
    •  & Malte Meinshausen
  • Letter |

    Using a global coupled biogeochemistry–climate model and a chemistry and transport model reveals that China’s present-day global radiative forcing is about ten per cent of the current global total, made up of both warming and cooling contributions; if in the future China reduces the cooling forcings, global warming could accelerate.

    • Bengang Li
    • , Thomas Gasser
    •  & Feng Zhou
  • Letter |

    To limit global warming to a rise of 2 °C compared to pre-industrial levels, we cannot use all of our fossil fuel reserves; here an integrated assessment model shows that this temperature limit implies that we must leave unused a third of our oil reserves, half of our gas reserves and over 80 per cent of our coal reserves during the next 40 years, and indicates where these are geographically located.

    • Christophe McGlade
    •  & Paul Ekins
  • Letter |

    Modelling that integrates the effects of uncertainties in relevant geophysical, technological, social and political factors on the cost of keeping transient global temperature increase to below certain limits shows that political choices have the greatest effect on the cost distribution.

    • Joeri Rogelj
    • , David L. McCollum
    •  & Keywan Riahi
  • Editorial |

    A controversial field trial of technology to mitigate climate change has been cancelled, but research continues. A robust governance framework is sorely needed to prevent further setbacks.