Review Article |
Featured
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Article |
Unrepresentative big surveys significantly overestimated US vaccine uptake
An analysis of three surveys of COVID-19 vaccine behaviour shows that larger surveys overconfidently overestimated vaccine uptake, a demonstration of how larger sample sizes can paradoxically lead to less accurate estimates.
- Valerie C. Bradley
- , Shiro Kuriwaki
- & Seth Flaxman
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Article
| Open Access
Advancing mathematics by guiding human intuition with AI
A framework through which machine learning can guide mathematicians in discovering new conjectures and theorems is presented and shown to yield mathematical insight on important open problems in different areas of pure mathematics.
- Alex Davies
- , Petar Veličković
- & Pushmeet Kohli
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Article |
Efficient and targeted COVID-19 border testing via reinforcement learning
A study reports the design and performance of a reinforcement learning algorithm that enabled efficient and targeted SARS-CoV-2 testing of passengers travelling to Greece in the summer of 2020.
- Hamsa Bastani
- , Kimon Drakopoulos
- & Sotirios Tsiodras
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Article |
Closed-loop optimization of fast-charging protocols for batteries with machine learning
A closed-loop machine learning methodology of optimizing fast-charging protocols for lithium-ion batteries can identify high-lifetime charging protocols accurately and efficiently, considerably reducing the experimental time compared to simpler approaches.
- Peter M. Attia
- , Aditya Grover
- & William C. Chueh
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Article |
Grandmaster level in StarCraft II using multi-agent reinforcement learning
AlphaStar uses a multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithm and has reached Grandmaster level, ranking among the top 0.2% of human players for the real-time strategy game StarCraft II.
- Oriol Vinyals
- , Igor Babuschkin
- & David Silver
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Matters Arising |
Reply to: One neuron versus deep learning in aftershock prediction
- Brendan J. Meade
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Matters Arising |
One neuron versus deep learning in aftershock prediction
- Arnaud Mignan
- & Marco Broccardo
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Letter |
Supervised learning with quantum-enhanced feature spaces
Two classification algorithms that use the quantum state space to produce feature maps are demonstrated on a superconducting processor, enabling the solution of problems when the feature space is large and the kernel functions are computationally expensive to estimate.
- Vojtěch Havlíček
- , Antonio D. Córcoles
- & Jay M. Gambetta
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Article |
Tripled yield in direct-drive laser fusion through statistical modelling
A statistical approach to designing and predicting the fusion yield of cryogenic deuterium–tritium implosions leads to tripled yield in direct-drive laser fusion of deuterium–tritium layered targets.
- V. Gopalaswamy
- , R. Betti
- & J. A. Frenje
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Article |
A simple rule to determine which insolation cycles lead to interglacials
A simple model, based on only summer insolation energy and time since the previous deglaciation, correctly predicts the deglaciation history of the past 2.6 million years, including the change in frequency of glacial–interglacial cycles about one million years ago.
- P. C. Tzedakis
- , M. Crucifix
- & E. W. Wolff
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Letter |
Recent temperature extremes at high northern latitudes unprecedented in the past 600 years
By use of a hierarchical Bayesian analysis of instrumental and proxy temperature records, early twenty-first-century summers at high northern latitudes are shown to have been warmer than any since 1400.
- Martin P. Tingley
- & Peter Huybers
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Comment |
Know when your numbers are significant
Experimental biologists, their reviewers and their publishers must grasp basic statistics, urges David L. Vaux, or sloppy science will continue to grow.
- David L. Vaux
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Research Highlights |
In sport, winners do take all
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Books & Arts |
Statistics: Forecasting with finesse
Paul Ormerod assesses a Bayesian take on predicting everything from poker games to climate change.
- Paul Ormerod
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Editorial |
Brain burdens
Europe's shocking statistics on neurological and mental disorders demand a shift in priorities.
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Books & Arts |
Statistics: Known unknowns
Andrew Robinson enjoys a history of a controversial probability tool — Bayes' theorem.
- Andrew Robinson
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Autumn Books |
Mathematics: Deception by numbers
Jascha Hoffman reads about the rise of nonsense statistics in everything from adverts to voting.
- Jascha Hoffman
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Comment |
Vital statistics
As the data deluge swells, statisticians are evolving from contributors to collaborators. Sallie Ann Keller urges funders, universities and associations to encourage this shift.
- Sallie Ann Keller
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News |
Statistics spark dismissal suit
Fired researcher's allegations of misconduct prompt university to investigate vaccine trial.
- Emma Marris
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News & Views |
The statistics of style
A mathematical method has been developed that distinguishes between the paintings of Pieter Bruegel the Elder and those of his imitators. But can the approach be used to spot imitations of works by any artist?
- Bruno A. Olshausen
- & Michael R. DeWeese
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News & Views |
Degrees of climate feedback
A probabilistic analysis of climate variation during the period AD 1050–1800 refines available estimates of the influence of temperature change on the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
- Hugues Goosse
Scientific discovery in the age of artificial intelligence